Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.017155 0.018960 0.020781 0.022754 0.024824 0.026928 0.029225
2025-06-29 0.013177 0.015923 0.018821 0.022085 0.025637 0.029363 0.033550
2025-07-06 0.010379 0.013569 0.017069 0.021136 0.025682 0.030563 0.036157
2025-07-13 0.009033 0.012603 0.016641 0.021448 0.026929 0.032909 0.039854
2025-07-20 0.007699 0.011487 0.015903 0.021283 0.027529 0.034443 0.042570
2025-07-27 0.006599 0.010529 0.015249 0.021123 0.028057 0.035829 0.045060
2025-08-03 0.006061 0.010208 0.015308 0.021758 0.029465 0.038183 0.048613
2025-08-10 0.005201 0.009388 0.014689 0.021527 0.029813 0.039286 0.050715
2025-08-17 0.004431 0.008611 0.014067 0.021241 0.030056 0.040234 0.052608
2025-08-24 0.003808 0.007975 0.013576 0.021079 0.030414 0.041290 0.054604
2025-08-31 0.003232 0.007346 0.013052 0.020839 0.030648 0.042177 0.056384
2025-09-07 0.002775 0.006844 0.012663 0.020741 0.031034 0.043227 0.058340
2025-09-14 0.002206 0.006133 0.011992 0.020317 0.031082 0.043963 0.060045
2025-09-21 0.001653 0.005363 0.011195 0.019707 0.030895 0.044429 0.061461
2025-09-28 0.001135 0.004532 0.010234 0.018816 0.030308 0.044375 0.062230
2025-10-05 0.000943 0.004297 0.010148 0.019109 0.031228 0.046157 0.065190
2025-10-12 0.000702 0.003891 0.009760 0.018954 0.031548 0.047186 0.067233
2025-10-19 0.000506 0.003520 0.009392 0.018804 0.031857 0.048188 0.069235
2025-10-26 0.000438 0.003466 0.009545 0.019400 0.033152 0.050421 0.072733
2025-11-02 0.000290 0.003111 0.009155 0.019183 0.033348 0.051267 0.074533
2025-11-09 0.000173 0.002767 0.008746 0.018915 0.033459 0.051993 0.076177
2025-11-16 0.000096 0.002488 0.008427 0.018763 0.033714 0.052893 0.078028
2025-11-23 0.000041 0.002207 0.008072 0.018537 0.033855 0.053638 0.079680